Second wave?

Terrigal lagoon this morning

The number of cases of community transmission of COVID-19 in Victoria has tripled this week compared to last week.  The number of cases is still low, 21 this week compared to 6 last week, but are still a matter for concern.  The authorities aren't yet willing to reimpose restrictions, or delay the planned easing of restrictions, but have said it will happen if numbers continue to rise.  We returned from a short vacation in Victoria this week and Julie received an SMS from her employer asking her not to come into work if she was exhibiting any virus symptoms!  A demonstration of the concern the surge is creating.

Terrigal sunrise this morning

Although not directly comparable, Beijing has also seen a spike with 183 new cases of the virus in the past week.  In contrast to Victoria, these cases all seem to derive from a single source, a wholesale market, where the Chinese suggest the virus may have been imported with Europe products (however this has not been scientifically proven yet).  The Beijing authorities claim the outbreak has now been contained, but doing that required the suspension of public transport, the closing of schools, the delay of planned restriction easing and the testing of 360,000 people.  Melbourne may yet have to follow suit.

The best example of what a second wave of infections would look like comes from Iran (see chart).  They were one of the earliest countries to be hit by the pandemic, and eventually seemed to get it under control, but since then, with the easing of restrictions, has come a severe second wave that is still growing.

I walked and jogged 6.5km this morning, with the damaged hip flexor causing some pain the whole way.  It's not real bad, but definitely impacting my movement and enjoyment.  Given it is only 12 days until we head off on our bike adventure, and I'm keen to improve my general fitness before then, I'll persevere.  Once on the bike ride, I'm hoping the injury will get a chance to repair.  I followed my walk/jog with 30 minutes on the bike trainer.  It's toughening my butt up, if nothing else.